We are due to return to the much awaited final run in for the Premier League with the title winner left to be decided, the three relegation places to be confirmed and of course the remaining third and fourth CL places hotly contested by four teams.
Everyone including journalists are voicing and writing their opinion about who they think will finish in the 3rd and 4th places. But this is backed mainly by their intuition. They have not really sat down to put to paper their predictions nor have they really backed up these predictions with any structured justification.
Lets make it clear. The 'computer' I refer to in the title of this post is my personal thinking as to the likely outcomes of the games involving those chasing a top four placing but structured to follow some guidelines.
I have made therefore some, what I consider, realistic guiding assumptions regarding the outcome of each team's remaining games.
These are as follows:
- Any games against the top two will be lost.
This affects Spurs the hardest as they have to play both Liverpool and Man City away. Also Man Utd play at home to Man City and Chelsea play at Liverpool.
- Any games between the current 3rd, 4th, 5th and 6th teams will be drawn.
This only affects Chelsea and Man Utd who play each other
- All end of season fixtures are expected to be won by the four
competitors as I expect all opponents will be on the beach by
then, with relegation already decided and other safe teams
Spurs apart, from playing the top two away from home, have
probably the easiest run in with 5 of their other 6 games being
at home against opponents they are very capable of beating.
These include Crystal Palace, Huddersfield, Brighton,
West Ham and Everton with only indifferent Bournemouth